ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2009
Forecast Parameter and 1950-2000 Climatology (in parentheses) Issue Date 9 April 2009
Named Storms: 12
Named Storm Days: 55
Hurricanes: 6
Hurricane Days: 25
Intense Hurricanes: 2
Intense Hurricane Days: 5
PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:
- Entire U.S. coastline - 54% (average for last century is 52%)
- U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida - 32% (average for last century is 31%)
- Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 31% (average for last century is 30%)
- Average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean